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Stock market's Santa tradition offers hope to battered Bitcoin bulls

Stock market's Santa tradition offers hope to battered Bitcoin bulls

By James Van StratenCoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Crypto News and Price Data

Stock market's Santa tradition offers hope to battered Bitcoin bulls A time-honored Wall Street pattern could bring relief to battered BTC bulls as the year end nears. What to know: Data show the S&P 500 tends to rally in the final week of December and first two trading days of January. A repeat of the historical pattern could bring relief to BTC, which is on track to register its worst fourth quarter since 2022. Bitcoin has experienced its toughest fourth quarter since 2022, but a time-honored Wall Street pattern could soon bring relief to battered BTC bulls. That pattern is S&P 500's tendency to chalk out a Santa rally - an upswing during the final five trading days of December and the first two of January. A repeat of this pattern could improve sentiment in the bitcoin market. See all newsletters Bullish Santa seasonality Since 2005, the S&P 500 has gained during the Santa Claus rally period 15 times and lost only five times, averaging 0.58% returns, according to data source The Market Stats. Going back to the 1950s, it has risen 77% of the time and never declined three years in a row during this window. The index dipped in the last two Santa periods. Taken together, these data sets mean that the S&P 500 is likely to chalk out a rally into the new year. For BTC, this bullish S&P 500 seasonality increasingly matters as the increasing institutional adoption via ETFs has tightened the link between digital assets and equities. So, a festive bid in stocks could spill over into bitcoin and the wider crypto market. BTC's Santa Claus rally history is checkered since launch, with strong return to the tune of 33% and 46% in 2011 and 2016, respectively. Other years have been weaker, with declines of 14% in 2014 and 10% in 2021. Still, it averages 7.9% since 2011, with the market being quite small and dominated by OGs in early years. Gold, the star performer According to TheMarketStats , gold has been the top performer, delivering a 95% cumulative return over this period. Looking back to 2005, only 2023 recorded a slight negative return. This strength has coincided with gold pushing to new all time highs above $4,400 an ounce at press time, hinting at yet another positive Santa period. Broadly speaking, while gold is trading at all-time highs, the S&P 500 is just 1.5% away from its own record levels. Meanwhile, bitcoin remains roughly 30% below its peak. More For You Protocol Research: GoPlus Security What to know: As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M. GoPlus Intelligence's Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025 , with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month. Since its January 2025...

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