Shoals: How To Extract 25% Before The Next Macro De-Rating

Shoals: How To Extract 25% Before The Next Macro De-Rating Summary Shoals Technologies has doubled since my last note, yet still offers a 20-25% 9-month trade as valuation remains anchored (23x fwd P/E), with upside driven by earnings delivery, not multiple. EBOS is a rare solar niche sustaining high-30s gross margins through cycles; a $721M backlog plus ~$575M delivered in 12 months shifts returns from estimates to contracted revenue, improving downside control. This is not a compounder: rising capex, G&A, AR, and customer concentration cap upside. Exit by late-2026, rotate to cash, and avoid exposure to a likely AI-capex-led macro de-rating. Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of SHLS either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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